India’s relations with China and Pakistan will sour, Modi government will give appropriate response to provocation, says US intelligence report

Washington: US intelligence agencies told their lawmakers on Wednesday that they expect tensions between India and Pakistan and between India and China to rise and that there is a possibility of conflict. He also said that under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, India is more likely than ever to respond to Pakistani provocations with military force. The assessment is part of the annual threat assessment of US intelligence agencies, presented to the US Congress by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence. The report says that while India and China are engaged in bilateral border talks and resolving issues, their relations remain strained following the 2020 Galwan Valley conflict, the worst in decades.

It was said in the report of US intelligence agencies that India and China are deploying a large number of military forces on the Line of Actual Control i.e. LAC. This situation increases the risk of an armed confrontation between the two nuclear powers, which could involve a direct threat to American interests. In the report, US intervention was demanded to normalize relations between the two countries. Past confrontations have demonstrated that persistent low-level conflict along the Line of Actual Control has the potential to escalate quickly. According to the report, “The crisis between India and Pakistan is of particular concern because of the risk of escalation of the conflict between the two nuclear-armed states.

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According to this report filed in the US Parliament, New Delhi and Islamabad are likely to consolidate the existing peace in their relationship after the two sides resume the ceasefire along the Line of Control in early 2021. However, the Pakistan has a long history of supporting anti-Indian terror groups, and India under Prime Minister Narendra Modi is more likely than in the past to respond with military force to perceived or actual Pakistani provocations. Responding to a question, US State Department spokesman Ned Price said the US-Pakistan counterterrorism dialogue provided an opportunity for the United States to express its willingness to work with Pakistan to fight against terrorist threats and violent extremism.

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He further stated, “those threats that exist in this region, threats that also have the potential to traverse this region. We have a common interest in countering regional security threats. The goal of a stable, secure and terrorism-free South and Central Asia depends on the strength of our partnership with Pakistan. We can act together to counter all terrorist groups that threaten regional and global stability. America wants to expand its partnership to meet these challenges. Any group that threatens regional and global stability is certainly a concern for us.

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Tags: Galwan Valley Clash, india china conflict, India-Pakistan relations