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The Russian-Ukrainian war may lead to a 6-month ceasefire, snowfall and cold become the main reason



Washington: The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine could stall for a few months. According to a report by the American newspaper ‘The New York Times’, due to the onset of winter, Russia may postpone its military operation in Ukraine for 6 months. Rain and loose soil will slow the movement of Ukrainian and Russian troops in late November. According to the report, heavy snowfall and severe cold can slow down the operational speed of the two countries’ armies on the battlefield. “You can already see that the bad weather in Ukraine has slowed the conflict down a bit,” the NYT said, quoting Colin Kahl, US Secretary of Defense Policy. In fact, it happens because of the mud, which made it difficult to attack on a large scale.

In the meantime, the enforced pause in troop movement is set to enter a new phase in the conflict, according to the NYT report. The Russian military will focus on attacks against Ukrainian infrastructure. Instead, the Ukrainian army will carry out sabotage attacks on Russia’s lines. Seth Jones, vice president of the American Center for Strategic and International Studies, mentioned it. The newspaper, quoting a US official, said Washington could significantly take advantage of the winter ceasefire to increase arms deliveries to Kyiv. The Washington Post, citing people familiar with the matter, wrote, “This news comes after reports that the Biden administration is privately encouraging Kyiv to show a willingness to negotiate with Russia.”

Russia started its military operation in Ukraine at the end of February this year. After that, the mediation started. The last round of talks was held in Istanbul on March 29, but the talks have stalled despite UN efforts. According to the NYT, the United States does not want Ukraine to start talks with Russia, but aims to ensure that Kyiv receives support from other countries. A US official told the Washington Post that Ukraine fatigue is a reality for some of our allies. Concerns are rising in parts of Europe, Africa and Latin America as food and fuel prices rise due to Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine.

Earlier in September, Russian President Vladimir Putin said Moscow was still open to talks with Kyiv and called on Ukraine to end hostilities. In return, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Kyiv was open to talks with Moscow, but that would only be possible if another Russian president came to power. That is, he said that Ukraine will not participate in any type of peace agreement with Russia under the head of state of Vladimir Putin. After that, the Kremlin replied that Moscow would wait for a change of position from the current President of Ukraine or his successor. Let us tell you that in the war that has been going on for 10 months, the armies of both countries have suffered heavy loss of life and property. At the same time, several million people had to be displaced from Ukraine.

Keywords: Russia, russia ukraine war, Ukraine